The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.

Colorado State University forecasters are calling for a slightly below-average Atlantic hurricane season in 2026, with 13 named storms, six hurricanes and two expected to reach major hurricane strength. The outlook reflects early-season conditions that are less favorable for widespread storm development compared to recent years.

A key factor behind the forecast is the expected development of El Niño, which typically increases wind shear across the Atlantic basin. That shear can disrupt storm formation and prevent systems from strengthening, often leading to fewer overall storms during the season.

At the same time, forecasters note that ocean temperatures closer to the United States - including the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico - remain relatively warm. Those conditions can still support storm development and intensification, particularly later in the season or closer to land.

For Florida and the Southeast, that means a quieter season on paper does not necessarily translate to lower risk. Even in below-average years, a single storm can bring significant impacts if it tracks toward populated areas.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Forecasters emphasize that early outlooks carry uncertainty, and Clay Electric members are encouraged to review emergency plans and supplies ahead of the season.

Click or tap here for the news release from CSU.