01/19/2026 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 01/19/2026 00:24
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This past summer the federal government passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, also known as HR1. This massive act-over 1,000 pages-is estimated to shift around $1.7 trillion in federal revenue over 10 years. HR1 brought major tax changes that significantly impact states relying on the federal tax code as a starting point for computing their own taxes. States are now quickly assessing their level of conformity with the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) to ensure that their alignment keeps their revenue needs accounted for.
The impact of conformity and potential decoupling is relevant in the context of several major HR1 IRC changes:
Many of the below significantly alter adjusted gross income, particularly affecting states reliant on income and those with higher tax rates. For example, a state with a 5% flat income tax will lose $50 for every $1,000 reduction in AGI pass-through to the state return.
The potential impact on states conforming to HR1impacted aspects of the IRC can be substantial:
Many states took action both in anticipation of, and in response to, HR1 tax impacts:
As the next legislative session approaches, states will continue fiscal analysis of HR1's impacts along with other economic trends impacting state revenue. Those states that are heavily reliant on income tax, largely conforming to the IRC, and facing revenue shortfalls, are the most likely candidates to reexamine their relationship to the federal tax code in the coming session. NCSL will monitor conformity trends closely and as always remains available to support its members in further researching and analyzing this space.