Australia: Stone Fruit Annual

Stone fruit production in Australia is forecast to decline in marketing year (MY) 2026/27, primarily due to above-average minimum temperatures during winter. These warmer conditions have resulted in sub-optimal cold chill hours during the tree dormancy period, which is expected to adversely affect bud development and subsequent fruit set. Tasmania, which has a cooler climate, has received adequate cold chill hours, and local cherry growers have had a more favorable start to the season. Cherry production is forecast to decline by 15 percent, while peach and nectarine production is expected to decrease by 10 percent. As a result, cherry exports are forecast to fall by 18 percent, while peach and nectarine exports are expected to decline by 15 percent. Imports are forecast to remain stable in MY 2026/27.