EFSA - European Food Safety Authority

11/07/2025 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 11/07/2025 09:43

Protocols for spatial modelling of vector habitat suitability

Protocols for spatial modelling of vector habitat suitability

Published:
7 November 2025
Approved:
3 November 2025
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Question number
EFSA-Q-2025-00543

Abstract

This report presents protocols developed for modelling vector habitat suitability using presence‐absence data derived from sources such as VectorNet and GBIF. These datasets, while extensive, often suffer from spatial gaps and lack of absence data. To address this, the report outlines a comprehensive workflow involving the generation of pseudo‐absences and the use of environmental unsuitability layers. Covariate datasets - including climatic, land cover, and topographic variables - are used to train machine learning models such as Random Forest and Boosted Regression Trees. Models are independently run and ensembled to improve predictive robustness. Emphasis is placed on automation using R's tidymodels framework, enabling reproducible and scalable modelling pipelines. The protocols include detailed steps for data acquisition, covariate extraction, model training, evaluation, and ensemble generation. Expert validation is incorporated to ensure ecological realism and methodological rigour. The goal is to produce spatially explicit habitat suitability maps at resolutions of 1 to 5 km, suitable for surveillance planning and risk assessment. This standardised approach allows for consistent modelling across diverse vector species and geographical contexts, forming a reference methodology for future VectorNet outputs and related public health applications.

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Animal health Vector-borne diseases
EFSA - European Food Safety Authority published this content on November 07, 2025, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed via Public Technologies (PUBT), unedited and unaltered, on November 07, 2025 at 15:43 UTC. If you believe the information included in the content is inaccurate or outdated and requires editing or removal, please contact us at [email protected]