11/13/2025 | Press release | Distributed by Public on 11/13/2025 13:35
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
This information should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes to financial statements included with this report. The discussion and analysis that follows may contain statements that relate to future events or future performance. In some cases, such forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as "may," "will," "should," "could," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential" or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. All statements (other than statements of historical fact) included in this report that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, including such matters as changes in commodity prices and market conditions (for bitcoin and the Shares), the operations of the Trust, the plans of the Sponsor and references to the Trust's future success and other similar matters are forward-looking statements. These statements are only predictions. Actual events or results may differ materially. These statements are based upon certain assumptions and analyses made by the Sponsor on the basis of its perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors it believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Whether or not actual results and developments will conform to the Sponsor's expectations and predictions is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including the special considerations discussed in this Report, general economic, market and business conditions, changes in laws or regulations, including those concerning taxes, made by governmental authorities or regulatory bodies, and other world economic and political developments. Consequently, all the forward-looking statements made in this report are qualified by these cautionary statements, and there can be no assurance that the actual results or developments the Sponsor anticipates will be realized or, even if substantially realized, will result in the expected consequences to, or have the expected effects on, the Trust's operations or the value of the Shares issued by the Trust. Moreover, neither the Sponsor nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the forward-looking statements. Neither the Trust nor the Sponsor undertakes an obligation to publicly update or conform to actual results any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as required by law.
Introduction
The Trust is a Delaware statutory trust. The Trust does not have directors, officers or employees. The creation and operation of the Trust has been arranged by the Sponsor. The Trust is administered by the Trust Agreement, among the Sponsor, the Trustee and the Delaware Trustee. The Trust is managed and controlled by the Sponsor, a wholly-owned subsidiary of VanEck. The Sponsor is not governed by a board of directors.
The Trust's investment objective is to reflect the performance of bitcoin less the operating expenses of the Trust. The Trust is a passive investment vehicle that does not seek to pursue any investment strategy beyond tracking the price of bitcoin. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of bitcoin.
The Trust issues and redeems Shares only in aggregations of 25,000 Shares, a Basket, or integral multiples thereof, and only in transactions with Authorized Participants.
Shares of the Trust trade on the Exchange under the ticker symbol "HODL."
Computation of Net Asset Value
The Trust's NAV is calculated based on the Trust's net asset holdings, as reconciled to the Bitcoin Custodians' accounts, on a market approach determined on a daily basis in accordance with the MarketVectorTM Bitcoin Benchmark Rate price at 4:00 p.m. EST. The Trust's NAV per Share is calculated by taking the current market value of its total assets, subtracting any liabilities, and then dividing that total by the total number of outstanding Shares. The Trust Agreement gives the Sponsor the exclusive authority to determine the Trust's NAV and the Trust's NAV per Share, which it has delegated to the Administrator.
Liquidity
The Trust is not aware of any trends, demands, conditions or events that are reasonably likely to result in material changes to its liquidity needs. In exchange for a fee, the Sponsor has agreed to assume most of the expenses incurred by the Trust. As a result, the only ordinary expense of the Trust during the period covered by this report was the Sponsor's Fee. The Trust's only source of liquidity is its sales of bitcoin.
Significant Accounting Policies
In preparing financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"), management makes estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, as well as the reported amount of revenue and expenses reported during the period. Actual results could differ from these estimates. A description of the valuation of bitcoin, a critical accounting policy that the Trust believes is important to understanding its results of operations and financial position, is provided in the section entitled "Computation of Net Asset Value" above. In addition, please refer to Note 2 to the Financial Statements included in this report for further discussion of the Trust's accounting policies.
Results of Operations (a)
The Quarter Ended September 30, 2024
The Trust's NAV increased from $614,747,718 at June 30, 2024 to $759,376,653 at September 30, 2024, a 23.53% increase. The increase in the Trust's NAV resulted primarily from the number of outstanding Shares increasing from 35,100,000 Shares at June 30, 2024 to 42,400,000 Shares at September 30, 2024. This is the net result of 12,600,000 Shares (504 Baskets) being created and 5,300,000 Shares (212 Baskets) being redeemed during the period. In addition, the price of bitcoin grew 2.26% from $61,926 at June 30, 2024 to $63,326 at September 30, 2024.
The 2.26% increase in the NAV per Share from $17.52 at June 30, 2024 to $17.91 at September 30, 2024 is directly related to the 2.26% increase in the price of bitcoin during this period.
The NAV per Share of $19.19 on July 22, 2024, was the highest during the quarter, compared with a low during the quarter of $15.02 on August 5, 2024.
Net increase in net assets resulting from operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, was $15,911,468 resulting from a net change in unrealized appreciation on investment in bitcoin of $11,414,566, a net realized gain of $4,496,902 on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares and a net investment loss of $0. The Trust had no expenses during the quarter as they were all waived by the Sponsor.
The Nine-Month Period Ended September 30, 2024
The Trust's NAV increased from $100,000 at December 31, 2023 to $759,376,653 at September 30, 2024, a 759,277% increase. The increase in the Trust's NAV resulted primarily from an increase in the number of outstanding Shares, which increased from 8,000 Shares at December 31, 2023 to 42,400,000 Shares at September 30, 2024. This is the net result of 51,600,000 Shares (1,752 Baskets) being created and 9,208,000 Shares (360 Baskets) being redeemed during the period. In addition, the price of bitcoin increased 43.33% from $44,182 at January 4, 2024 to $63,326 at September 30, 2024.
The 43.28% increase in the NAV per Share from $12.50 at December 31, 2023 to $17.91 at September 30, 2024 is directly related to the 43.33% increase in the price of bitcoin during this period.
The NAV per Share of $20.68 on March 13, 2024, was the highest during the period, compared with a low during the period of $11.10 on January 23, 2024.
Net increase in net assets resulting from operations for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2024, was $38,425,905, resulting from a net change in unrealized appreciation on investment in bitcoin of $24,957,145, a net realized gain of $13,521,354 on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares, a net realized gain of $10,977 from bitcoin sold to pay expenses during the nine-month period, and a net investment loss of $63,571. Other than the Sponsor Fee of $63,571, the Trust had no other expenses during the nine-month period.
The Quarter Ended September 30, 2025
The Trust's NAV increased from $1,679,361,166 at June 30, 2025 to $2,039,322,369 at September 30, 2025, a 21.43% increase. The increase in the Trust's NAV resulted primarily from an increase in the number of outstanding Shares, which increased from 55,375,000 Shares at June 30, 2025 to 63,125,000 Shares at September 30, 2025. This is the net result of 9,750,000 Shares (390
Baskets) being created and 2,000,000 Shares (80 Baskets) being redeemed during the period. In addition, the price of bitcoin increased 6.53% from $107,231 at June 30, 2025 to $114,228 at September 30, 2025.
The 6.53% increase in the NAV per Share from $30.33 at June 30, 2025 to $32.31 at September 30, 2025 is primarily related to the 6.53% increase in the price of bitcoin during this period.
The NAV per Share of $34.59 on August 13, 2025, was the highest during the quarter, compared with a low during the quarter of $29.87 on July 1, 2025.
Net increase in net assets resulting from operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, was $103,792,268 resulting from a net change in unrealized appreciation on investment in bitcoin of $84,089,218 and a net realized gain of $19,703,050 on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares and a net investment loss of $0. The Trust had no expenses during the quarter as they were all waived by the Sponsor.
The Nine-Month Period Ended September 30, 2025
The Trust's NAV increased from $1,280,450,332 at December 31, 2024, to $2,039,322,369 at September 30, 2025, a 59.27% increase. The increase in the Trust's NAV resulted primarily from an increase in the number of outstanding Shares, which increased from 48,500,000 Shares at December 31, 2024 to 63,125,000 at September 30, 2025. This is the net result of 21,850,000 Shares (874 Baskets) being created and 7,225,000 Shares (289 Baskets) being redeemed during the period. In addition, the price of bitcoin increased 22.37% from $93,349 at December 31, 2024 to $114,228 at September 30, 2025.
The 22.39% increase in the NAV per Share from $26.40 at December 31, 2024 to $32.31 at September 30, 2025 is directly related to the 22.37% increase in the price of bitcoin during this period.
The NAV per Share of $34.59 on August 13, 2025, was the highest during the period, compared with a low during the period of $21.70 on April 8, 2025.
Net increase in net assets resulting from operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $297,152,438 resulting from a net change in unrealized appreciation on investment in bitcoin of $243,902,664 and a net realized gain of $53,249,774 on bitcoin sold for the redemption of Shares and a net investment loss of $0. The Trust had no expenses during the quarter as they were all waived by the Sponsor.
(a) Shares outstanding, Baskets and NAV per Share, where applicable have been adjusted to reflect the 4 for 1 share split that took place on February 14, 2025.