Consumer confidence declined modestly in July, reflecting continued caution among Americans even as planned purchases suggest household spending intentions remain resilient.
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index fell 1.4 points to 90.8, below the consensus forecast of 92.4, marking the third consecutive month of softer assessments of current conditions.
Cost-of-living pressures continue to weigh on sentiment. While the survey period overlapped with renewed conflict in the Middle East, consumer references to war and geopolitical tensions declined. Mentions of food and grocery prices, however, increased.
Despite softer confidence, consumers do not appear to be pulling back broadly on planned purchases. On a six-month moving average basis, purchase intentions increased across several durable goods categories, including TVs, refrigerators and washing machines. Plans to purchase homes and vehicles also rose.
Confidence varied by income, with higher-income households remaining relatively more optimistic, suggesting purchasing power remains stronger among some consumers. Meanwhile, the Expectations Index remained steady at 74.7.
The July data continues to highlight a disconnect between how consumers feel about the broader economy and how they expect to spend. While concerns around costs, economic conditions and geopolitical uncertainty remain elevated, those concerns have not yet translated into a broad retreat from major purchase plans.
NMMA will continue tracking consumer sentiment and its impact on the industry. Members are encouraged to leverage tools such as the
Monthly Industry Data Summary and
Marine Leadership Barometer to support planning and navigate evolving market dynamics.
For more economic updates and data-driven insights, visit nmma.org/statistics or contact the NMMA Business Intelligence team at
[email protected].
This analysis was prepared by NMMA and Dr. Shawn DuBravac on behalf of NMMA.