Cuba: UN warns of possible humanitarian ‘collapse’, as oil supplies dwindle

The United States has threatened to impose tariffs on any country providing oil to Cuba, increasing pressure on the island nation following a decades-long trade embargo and the US seizure of Venezuela's leader Nicolás Maduro last month.

Venezuela had been the main supplier of oil to Havana but Washington has been ratcheting up pressure on Cuba in recent weeks, including an executive order last Thursday threatening to impose additional tariffs on countries that sell oil to Cuba, including Mexico.

"I can tell you that the Secretary-General is extremely concerned about the humanitarian situation in Cuba, which will worsen, and if not collapse, if its oil needs go unmet," said UN Spokesperson Stéphane Dujarric.

The UN chief noted that the General Assembly has been calling for an end to the US embargo for more than three decades: "The Secretary-General urges all parties to pursue dialogue and respect for international law."

Fuel crisis

The fuel crisis has pushed up food prices for Cubans, led to severe fuel shortages and major power cuts throughout the country.

"Clearly what we see now, especially after the recent events in Venezuela, is a combination of emotions," said Francisco Pichon, the most senior United Nations official in Cuba, describing "a mix of resilience, but also grief, sorrow and indignation, and some concern about the regional developments."

Thirty-two Cubans were killed in Venezuela on 3 January in the US operation to capture Mr. Maduro.

The UN's humanitarian work in Cuba

Mr. Pichon spoke to UN News from Havana last month, where the power had just gone out in his office. The UN team said that the vast majority of Cubans are being hit by rolling blackouts, at a time when the number of people in vulnerable situations has increased significantly.

Even before the latest regional developments, the UN has been working with the Cuban Government to incubate ideas and support development, including ways to diversity the Cuban economy.

"The energy transition is a major priority due to reduced access to fuel and infrastructure challenges," Mr. Pichon said, noting that investment needs remain a bottleneck.

Urgent changes needed

"The last two years have been quite tough," he added, stressing that urgent changes are needed to sustain Cuba's social model "in the midst of the severe economic, financial and trade sanctions".

Cuba's economy, which has historically relied on tourism as a key source of hard currency, was severely disrupted in the COVID pandemic and remains well under 2018 levels.

As the Cuban economy has deteriorated, the country's social indicators - such as universal healthcare, universal education, and extensive social safety nets like subsidised healthcare and food rations - are under strain.

"All of this is happening in the context of the US embargo against Cuba," said Mr. Pichon, noting that Cuba has also been relisted by the United States as a state sponsor of terrorism.

"From the UN perspective, our guiding principles remain unchanged: To be present. To support. To act based on cooperation, respected for international law, and the UN values."

Mr. Pichon, as UN Resident Coordinator, oversees the work of 23 UN agencies, funds and programmes. Here is a snapshot of some of the work underway.

Hurricane Melissa

Hurricane Melissa tore through Cuba as a Category 3 storm on 29 October. For the first time in the country, anticipatory action was taken through the release of funds from the UN Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF), enabling supplies, such as water purification units, food, hygiene kits, generators, medicines, medical and shelter supplies to be pre-positioned.

The UN launched a $74 million Plan of Action to support national recovery and assist more than 2.2 million people affected by the storm's destruction. So far, about $23 million has been mobilised targeting the one million most vulnerable.

"No lives were lost directly due to the hurricane," Mr. Pichon said, owing to the solid capabilities of Cuba's civil defence, although recovery needs remain enormous, including rebuilding tens of thousands of homes.

Cooperation Framework

The UN's long-term engagement in Cuba is undergirded by a cooperation framework aligned with Cuba's National Development Plan and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This framework has four key pillars:

• Institutional: The UN supported the development of around 30 laws following the 2019 constitutional reform, advancing equity, inclusion and rights for women, children, LGBTQ+ persons, people of African descent and persons with disabilities.
• Economic: Focuses on productive transformation and access to financing amid ongoing sanctions and the US listing of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism. Utilizing the Joint SDG Fund, which helps countries pay for projects related to the Sustainable Development Goals.
• Environmental: Disaster risk management and climate resilience are central, especially given Cuba's exposure to hurricanes, such as Melissa. UN support in anticipation and response seeks to protect lives and livelihoods.
• Social: Social protection systems and attention to differentiated needs with a focus on leaving no one behind, including vulnerable groups vulnerable groups such as people living with AIDS, the LGBTI community, children, adolescents, women, and the elderly, who are a very relevant sector in an aging society.